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Monday, May 11, 2015

Relief Is expected to begin in affected people of Cyclone in past forecast "Observe" path and Support of Forecast humanitarian impact

This tropical cyclone is expected to have a high humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.

Current storm status

This report is for advisory number 35 of tropical cyclone NOUL-15 issued at 11 May 2015 12:00 UTC (GDACS Event ID 1000162, Latest episode ID: 35, inserted at 11 May 2015 15:07 UTC ).

Current impact estimate:

Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 1.7 millionHurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 259 km/h)Vulnerability of affected countries: Medium

Impact of Extreme Wind

Cloud map. The map shows the areas affected by tropical storm strength winds (green), 58mph winds (orange) and cyclone wind strengths (red). (Source: JRC)

Affected population

Up to 1.7 million people people can be affected by wind speeds of cyclone strength or above. In addition, 110000 people people are living in coastal areas below 5m and can therefore be affected by storm surge.

Affected provinces

CountryRegion/ProvincePopulationJapanKyushu13.2 million peopleJapanOkinawa1.2 million peoplePhilippinesCagayan Valley2.3 million people

Affected cities

NameRegion/ProvinceCountryCity classPopulationNahaOkinawaJapanCity290000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Nearby and affected airportsNameIATA CodeElevation (m)UsageRunway typeIFRRunway Length (ft)9BascoBSO56Civ.PavedNo4100ShimojishimaSHI16Civ.PavedYes9800HiraraMMY45Civ.PavedYes6500Kikai6Civ.PavedYes3900OkierabuOKE31Civ.PavedYes3900YoronRNJ16Civ.PavedYes3900Ie JimaIEJ75Civ.PavedNo4900Kadena ABDNA45Mil.PavedYes12100Futenma Mcas75Mil.PavedYes9000NahaOKA5Civ.PavedYes9800Palanan50Civ.UnpavedNo3200Major portsNameLOCODECountryHeianzaJPHEIJapanKin WanJPKINJapanNahaJPNAHJapanNishiharaJPNHRJapanAparriPHAPRPhilippinesBascoPhilippinesCalayanPhilippinesPort San VicentePhilippinesNakagusuku WanJapanHiraraJapanPalananPhilippinesMyako IslandJapanOkuJapanHydro-damsReservoirDam NameRiverYearKannakoKannaKannafukujigawa1993OkukubiOkukubigawa2001ZukeyamaKurashikiYonabarugawa1995

See complete report

Event time line

The storm evolution is shown in the table below. Alert levels and population estimates are related to the area from a point to the next.

AdvisoryAlert colorDate (UTC)CategoryWind speedWind gustsPopulation affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)Location (lon, lat)1

03/May/2015 00:00Tropical depression47 km/h (29 mph)km/h ( mph)no people141.2, 82

03/May/2015 06:00Tropical depression47 km/h (29 mph)km/h ( mph)no people141.5, 8.43

03/May/2015 12:00Tropical depression56 km/h (35 mph)km/h ( mph)no people141.3, 94

03/May/2015 18:00Tropical storm64 km/h (40 mph)km/h ( mph)no people140.7, 9.65

04/May/2015 00:00Tropical storm64 km/h (40 mph)km/h ( mph)no people140.3, 9.76

04/May/2015 06:00Tropical storm74 km/h (46 mph)km/h ( mph)no people140, 9.87

04/May/2015 12:00Tropical storm84 km/h (52 mph)km/h ( mph)no people139.7, 9.68

04/May/2015 18:00Tropical storm93 km/h (58 mph)km/h ( mph)no people139.4, 9.69

05/May/2015 00:00Tropical storm101 km/h (63 mph)km/h ( mph)no people138.9, 9.410

05/May/2015 06:00Tropical storm101 km/h (63 mph)km/h ( mph)no people138.9, 9.511

05/May/2015 12:00Tropical storm111 km/h (69 mph)km/h ( mph)no people138.6, 9.512

05/May/2015 18:00Category 1121 km/h (75 mph)km/h ( mph)no people138.2, 9.513

06/May/2015 00:00Category 1121 km/h (75 mph)km/h ( mph)no people137.8, 9.414

06/May/2015 06:00Category 1138 km/h (86 mph)km/h ( mph)no people136.9, 9.415

06/May/2015 12:00Category 1148 km/h (92 mph)km/h ( mph)no people136.1, 9.716

06/May/2015 18:00Category 1148 km/h (92 mph)km/h ( mph)no people135.2, 1017

07/May/2015 00:00Category 2167 km/h (104 mph)km/h ( mph)no people134.2, 10.618

07/May/2015 06:00Category 2167 km/h (104 mph)km/h ( mph)no people133.1, 11.319

07/May/2015 12:00Category 3185 km/h (115 mph)km/h ( mph)no people132, 11.720

07/May/2015 18:00Category 3185 km/h (115 mph)km/h ( mph)no people131.1, 12.121

08/May/2015 00:00Category 3185 km/h (115 mph)km/h ( mph)no people130.1, 12.522

08/May/2015 06:00Category 3185 km/h (115 mph)km/h ( mph)no people129.1, 12.723

08/May/2015 12:00Category 3195 km/h (121 mph)km/h ( mph)no people128, 13.324

08/May/2015 18:00Category 3195 km/h (121 mph)km/h ( mph)no people127.1, 13.725

09/May/2015 00:00Category 2175 km/h (109 mph)km/h ( mph)no people126.1, 14.326

09/May/2015 06:00Category 3195 km/h (121 mph)km/h ( mph)no people125.2, 14.927

09/May/2015 12:00Category 4212 km/h (132 mph)km/h ( mph)1600 people124.5, 15.428

09/May/2015 18:00Category 4241 km/h (150 mph)km/h ( mph)<1000 people123.8, 16.129

10/May/2015 00:00Category 5259 km/h (161 mph)km/h ( mph)150000 people123.3, 1730

10/May/2015 06:00Category 5259 km/h (161 mph)km/h ( mph)340000 people122.6, 17.931

10/May/2015 12:00Category 4241 km/h (150 mph)km/h ( mph)140000 people122.3, 18.732

10/May/2015 18:00Category 4212 km/h (132 mph)km/h ( mph)14000 people122.3, 19.533

11/May/2015 00:00Category 3195 km/h (121 mph)km/h ( mph)no people122, 20.534

11/May/2015 06:00Category 2175 km/h (109 mph)km/h ( mph)59000 people122.6, 21.835

11/May/2015 12:00Category 1148 km/h (92 mph)km/h ( mph)1.3 million people123.5, 2335

12/May/2015 00:00Category 1121 km/h (75 mph)km/h ( mph)530000 people128.2, 26.635

12/May/2015 12:00Tropical storm101 km/h (63 mph)km/h ( mph)no people135.4, 31.535

13/May/2015 00:00Tropical storm84 km/h (52 mph)km/h ( mph)no people143.8, 37.5

Upper Air

https://goo.gl/F6bJeo

https://goo.gl/up3wHg

SpotCrime Weekly Alert - May 10, 2015

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Date: May 11, 2015 12:31 AM
Subject: SpotCrime Weekly Alert - May 10, 2015
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Sunday, May 10, 2015

United States Navy NAS BLYND Tropical View

https://goo.gl/gJB4St
https://goo.gl/3b47Jk
https://goo.gl/QMSTBG

Tropical Cyclone advisory 32

Summary

Interactive map: Open Rain map with eTraP data. (Source: JRC)Storm surge maximum height (only available when storm surge conditions exist). (Source: JRC)

Tropical Cyclone NOUL-15 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the Maximum sustained wind speed and the affected population and their vulnerability.

Updated: this report is based on advisory number 32.

Tropical Cyclone Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 259 km/h)from 03 May 2015 18:00 UTC to 10 May 2015 18:00 UTCPopulation affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 1.5 millioninserted at 10 May 2015 21:13:58 UTCVulnerability: Medium

Extreme Rain

Potential rainfall is calculated based on rainfall observed by several microwave satellite sensors.

The image shows the total rainfall accumulation associated with the cyclone.

Storm surge

The maximum Storm surge height is   0.6m in BugueyPhilippines. This height is estimated for 10 May 2015 10:00:00

https://goo.gl/Lui7yU

Sharks on The Move but Protected by Feds

Final Rule; Fishing Season Notification.

SUMMARY

This final rule establishes opening dates and adjusts quotas for the 2015 fishing seasons for the Atlantic commercial shark fisheries. The quota adjustments are based on over- and/or underharvests experienced during 2014 and previous fishing seasons. In addition, NMFS establishes season opening dates based on adaptive management measures to provide, to the extent practicable, fishing opportunities for commercial shark fishermen in all regions and areas. These actions could affect fishing opportunities for commercial shark fishermen in the northwestern Atlantic Ocean, including the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea.
https://goo.gl/fnnEjf