Friday, October 23, 2015

RED alert: Cyclone PATRICIA-15 inMexico : 766566 people in Cat1(120km/h) , 13830208 in tropical depression.

MOVE FROM COASTAL AREAS OF HURRICANE FORECAST LANDFALL

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: "GDACS" <gdacs-noreply@jrc.ec.europa.eu>
Date: Oct 23, 2015 6:59 PM
Subject: RED alert: Cyclone PATRICIA-15 inMexico : 766566 people in Cat1(120km/h) , 13830208 in tropical depression.
To: <gdacs-noreply@jrc.ec.europa.eu>
Cc:

Red alert for Tropical Cyclone PATRICIA-15

Click for an interactive map
Legend: areas affected by winds of 39mph (green), 58mph (orange) and 74mph (red); shaded area is uncertainty cone of forecasted cyclone path.

Legend: areas affected by winds of 39mph (green), 58mph (orange) and 74mph (red); blue area is heavy rainfall >100mm/6hr (source: eTRaP)

Click for detailed report
Legend: areas affected by storm surge <1m (red), >1m (yellow) (source: JRC)

Alert level

The alert level for the forecasted track (next 72h) is Red.

The overall alert level is Red for

This tropical cyclone can have a high humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.

Please see methodology for more explanations on thresholds.

In particular are affected by high winds up to 324.07 (90.02 m/s or 201.37mph).

Current Storm Status

Analysis based on advisory number 16 for PATRICIA-15, published on 23 Oct 2015 21:00

The storm is: active
Current country: Mexico
Current position: Lat:18.9 Lon:-105.2
Alert level at current position: Red
Basin: EastPacific
Current strength: Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph
Current maximum sustained wind speed: 90.02

GDACS report created on 24 Oct 2015 00:56.

For a more complete report including information on storm surge and extreme rainfall, please go to http://www.gdacs.org/Cyclones/report.aspx?eventid=1000231&episodeid=16&eventtype=TC.

Disclaimer

While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website. Please refer to the GDACS website for subscribing or unsubscribing from the earthquake alert email or SMS service.
Information related to the track has been collected from the Joint Typhoon Warning Centre and NOAA National Hurricane Center . The impact analysis is performed by the Joint Research Center of the European Commission.

Joint Initiative of the United Nations and the European Commission